Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9f5a90a7b5beca4f355fab71ce6a2b79381e2ebce18f8a02a9a93b198ba04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Amaru Gaming, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Amaru Gaming | 17c | 20,009$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.73 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 3,913$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.01 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 3,816$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.32 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2163backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 2,865$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 1,904$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.56 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…1ddcbacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 1,792$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…97e4backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 1,155$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Power Rangers | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Power Rangers | 69c | 850$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Amaru Gaming | 18c | 702.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Power Rangers | 68c | 552$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 502.34$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Power Rangers | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Power Rangers | 62c | 322.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 259.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Power Rangers | 63c | 225$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 15c | 224.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 67c | 204.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 192.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Amaru Gaming | 13c | 184.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 183.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 179.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Power Rangers | 69c | 153.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Amaru Gaming | 25c | 116.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 104.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Amaru Gaming | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Power Rangers | 61c | 96.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 73c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 69c | 69.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 69.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked Power Rangers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…926ebacked Power Rangers | 60c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Power Rangers | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Power Rangers | 80c | 33.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Power Rangers | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Power Rangers | 71c | 25.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…974bbacked Power Rangers | 79c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Power Rangers | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)Power Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.