Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann vs. PAOK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d70875dccfcf798b56e092118cd425f57230840f0d08e85fc3bb69ad07990d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 24c | 3,701$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.89 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 1,943$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.19 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 1,834$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.42 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 73c | 1,162$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.74 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 132 | 70.5%93 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 628.34$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 67c | 388.6$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 386.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 6c | 285.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 10c | 283.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 13c | 256.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 243.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 180.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed Yes | 20c | 98.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 71c | 81.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 62.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 80c | 53.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 48.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 76c | 32.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 25.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 71c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann vs. PAOK end in a draw?this page
- Will PAOK win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.