Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7daf280ca959d4d90c84ffe89c4c6a5d4871be929a74d05789add7194c51c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 31c | 5,923$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.08 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 70c | 3,340$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.18 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 1,855$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.44 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 3c | 1,313$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 67c | 1,242$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.87 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 1,234$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 1,085$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.81 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 72c | 671.75$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 32c | 671.27$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 643.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 2,433 | 37.4%909 W · 1,524 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 549.02$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 336.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 34c | 334$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 285.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 7c | 264.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 245.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 1,199 | 47.5%569 W · 630 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 167.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 33c | 80.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 60c | 74.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 35c | 56.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 22c | 48.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 51c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 40c | 45.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 38.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 30c | 37.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 30c | 33.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 76c | 30.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 40c | 27.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 60c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 73c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed No | 72c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will SK Brann vs. PAOK end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.