MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x911d8db6d926cf12c909749716b543e592082778468858260830d5c2e6b7a817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Kansas City Royals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,717 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 10,079$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,515.44 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,661$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.81 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,610$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.35 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,626$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.51 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 2,000$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.23 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,040$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.06 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 1,022$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 403.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 76c | 386.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 1,970 | 53.1%1,047 W · 923 L | +45.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 353$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Kansas City Royals | 10c | 305.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 858 | 35.7%306 W · 552 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kansas City Royals | 18c | 232.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 487 | 43.3%211 W · 276 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 218.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 271 | 46.1%125 W · 146 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 207$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 194.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 183$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 1,206 | 29.1%351 W · 855 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 153.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 129.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 117.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 109.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1e49backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 103.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 490 | 46.1%226 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Kansas City Royals | 24c | 68.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…8c4dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 36.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 29.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 25.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 21.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.