Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91268d4febf28f9fd6e44690451c59530aff00f11d681ed07aaee06ed494508a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC CFR 1907 Clujof Tromsø IL, FC CFR 1907 Cluj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 61c | 3,240$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.76 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tromsø IL | 38c | 783.04$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tromsø IL | 47c | 442.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 58c | 248.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Tromsø IL | 38c | 247.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Tromsø IL | 38c | 218$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tromsø IL | 38c | 217.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tromsø IL | 45c | 207.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tromsø IL | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tromsø IL | 45c | 192.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tromsø IL | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 59c | 96.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 61c | 85.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tromsø IL | 40c | 64.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Tromsø IL | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Tromsø IL | 40c | 53.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Tromsø IL | 48c | 50.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 61c | 48.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Tromsø IL | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tromsø IL | 46c | 40.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tromsø IL | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed FC CFR 1907 Cluj | 57c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tromsø IL | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)this page
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.