Europa Conference League · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9ace4200e06aaaa0a0f75490092b7e310b55760d3fa9ddfc578b9d610cd32dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 58c | 1,892$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.24 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 43c | 1,575$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.25 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 54c | 1,532$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 47c | 536.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 524.57$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 50c | 501.39$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 43c | 434$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 374.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 46c | 249.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 233$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 37c | 222.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 48c | 205.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 28c | 131.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 35c | 120.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 63c | 116$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 115.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 34c | 107.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 32c | 107$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 101.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 37c | 91.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 63c | 89.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 34c | 87.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 36c | 85.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 36c | 82.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 80.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 80.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 32c | 73.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 37c | 64.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 47c | 55.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 45c | 55.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 33c | 55.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 50.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 57c | 40.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 47c | 36.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 33c | 33.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 74c | 33.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 57c | 22.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Under | 69c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)FC CFR 1907 Cluj won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.