Europa Conference League · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef674ff66271e2fe37e53cfe50ae94b4c2153f46bc31bcd4fc6aa5fe3e4fb9fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 70c | 5,142$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.03 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 3,224$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.69 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 73c | 1,071$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 28c | 988.6$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.65 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 51c | 812.34$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 466.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…882dbacked Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 14c | 398.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 76c | 397.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 29c | 287.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 12c | 274.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Under | 54c | 269$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 39c | 260.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 238.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 27c | 221.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 10c | 216.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 170.48$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 59c | 170.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 45c | 167.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 159.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 41c | 150.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 75c | 146$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 45c | 114.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 105.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 22c | 102.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Under | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 24c | 74.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 73.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Under | 37c | 69.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 46c | 65.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 41c | 64.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 73c | 63.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 37c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 62c | 44.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 35c | 40.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 56c | 36.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 36c | 34.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 70c | 33.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 30.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 41c | 26.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 57c | 25.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)FC CFR 1907 Cluj won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.