Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv: Daniel Michalski vs Gijs Brouwer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b28008a25e784445511dd538f1ac0c05a591fcc6b9bf153912fcaacec24099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Michalskiof Daniel Michalski, Gijs Brouwer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gijs Brouwer | 11c | 2,717$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.26 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Gijs Brouwer | 11c | 1,878$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Gijs Brouwer | 22c | 1,813$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Michalski | 74c | 1,499$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gijs Brouwer | 21c | 999.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gijs Brouwer | 26c | 693.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Gijs Brouwer | 18c | 580$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Daniel Michalski | 71c | 503.6$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gijs Brouwer | 29c | 427.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Gijs Brouwer | 7c | 337.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gijs Brouwer | 29c | 249.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Gijs Brouwer | 8c | 193.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Gijs Brouwer | 13c | 161$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gijs Brouwer | 7c | 153.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gijs Brouwer | 19c | 140.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Daniel Michalski | 72c | 118.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 652 | 50.3%328 W · 324 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gijs Brouwer | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gijs Brouwer | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Gijs Brouwer | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Gijs Brouwer | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Gijs Brouwer | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daniel Michalski | 79c | 83.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Daniel Michalski | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Daniel Michalski | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Gijs Brouwer | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Daniel Michalski | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Gijs Brouwer | 29c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Daniel Michalski | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Daniel Michalski | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Michalski | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.