Premier League · resolved market
Will Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x923d0f458d50d67a1d339ed421dba0f09e075a6b4f4d87915f6a9eed9caec0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 5,002$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 2,560$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.46 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,940$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.55 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 26c | 606.66$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 522.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 436$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 370.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 242.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 54c | 211.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 194$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 56c | 179.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 172.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 74c | 65.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 48c | 62.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 61.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…a6ebbacked Yes | 57c | 59.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 63c | 56.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 72c | 46.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 40c | 41.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 29.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 57c | 29.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 50c | 27.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 51c | 24.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.