Tennis · resolved market
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Matilde Jorge vs Chloe Noel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925b1eb4a50b01bfb69e2be80b167009a9f379cc55128615191139cfb40b8342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chloe Noelof Matilde Jorge, Chloe Noel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chloe Noel | 45c | 2,523$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.09 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matilde Jorge | 58c | 2,088$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.99 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chloe Noel | 11c | 1,527$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.24 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chloe Noel | 58c | 546.41$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.59 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Matilde Jorge | 16c | 461.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Matilde Jorge | 25c | 297.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chloe Noel | 30c | 262.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matilde Jorge | 66c | 254.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matilde Jorge | 17c | 182.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chloe Noel | 73c | 146.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Matilde Jorge | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Chloe Noel | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chloe Noel | 18c | 93.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Matilde Jorge | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Matilde Jorge | 53c | 73.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Chloe Noel | 27c | 73.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chloe Noel | 73c | 70.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Matilde Jorge | 17c | 67.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Chloe Noel | 41c | 59.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matilde Jorge | 24c | 58.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chloe Noel | 44c | 57.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Chloe Noel | 18c | 57.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chloe Noel | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chloe Noel | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Chloe Noel | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Chloe Noel | 68c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Matilde Jorge | 77c | 44.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Matilde Jorge | 70c | 41.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Chloe Noel | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chloe Noel | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…5b3ebacked Chloe Noel | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Matilde Jorge | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Chloe Noel | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chloe Noel | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Matilde Jorge | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Matilde Jorge | 66c | 28.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…78c9backed Chloe Noel | 40c | 27.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Chloe Noel | 43c | 24.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Matilde Jorge | 48c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Matilde Jorge | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.