Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b8accdf30911e65699e2370d790299f2ea73fc41484e06aaaed9f7a7ab4a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked No | 51c | 5,186$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 49c | 4,467$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,056$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.54 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 1,700$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 1,499$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.25 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 1,485$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.31 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 868.89$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.83 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 780.21$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.93 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 34c | 770.19$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 685.19$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 53c | 195.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…f000backed Yes | 47c | 182.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 142.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Yes | 47c | 125.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 47c | 123.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes | 46c | 120.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 51c | 119.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 117.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 50c | 73.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 50c | 60.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 48c | 39.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 51c | 35.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 52c | 34.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 53c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Coleraine FC vs. Helsingin JK end in a draw?No won
- Will Coleraine FC win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.