NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92daff213d96ec9e09ba57eebc99bf5b720a221d10c82b1bcf4530654a76ec53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Over | 49c | 5,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,733$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.64 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 54c | 2,546$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.29 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 385.87$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Under | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 79c | 230.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 196.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 163$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…1fe1backed Over | 13c | 158$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 132.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…67f9backed Over | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 24c | 112.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 76.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Under | 54c | 65.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 37c | 64.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…0e92backed Under | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 43c | 51.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 43c | 51.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 47.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 47c | 42.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…f5bdbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. CanucksJets won
- Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.