Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Pol Martin Tiffon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x934497cc6eadd22e431607b87f1c9dc6bf6de9aeb2d027761857f439961462bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Pavlovicof Luka Pavlovic, Pol Martin Tiffon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 52c | 7,311$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.31 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 79c | 6,292$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.51 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 25c | 3,682$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.82 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 3,394$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.14 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 20c | 1,760$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Luka Pavlovic | 59c | 1,414$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 1,151$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.47 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 56c | 875.98$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.63 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 17c | 613.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 592.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Luka Pavlovic | 77c | 436.77$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 435.09$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 406.18$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 360$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.03 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 355$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 41c | 282.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 275.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 45c | 270.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 262$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 258$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 57c | 227$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 211.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 50c | 204.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 193.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luka Pavlovic | 80c | 141.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 131.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 25c | 94.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 56c | 87.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 56c | 85.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 32c | 59.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 55c | 56.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 50.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 40c | 39.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Luka Pavlovic | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 25.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 54c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.