CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x934d05355d09fa7d93c331d907cb9b9c898b03e0cec0ec26abf172a53cd22ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 2,593$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.34 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 521.55$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 503.06$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 497.73$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 444.35$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 309.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Misa Esports | 66c | 270$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Misa Esports | 53c | 267.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 240.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 213.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 202.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 194.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 139.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 135.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 134.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 92.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 92.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 66c | 91.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…d63bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 90.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Misa Esports | 26c | 88.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 81.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 79.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Misa Esports | 27c | 78.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 72.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 46c | 68.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-MANA eSports | 78c | 65.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Misa Esports | 52c | 56.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 47.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 48c | 40.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 33.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 30.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Misa Esports | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Misa Esports | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 22.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Misa Esports | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.