Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9399d694f9a362bc2509832644ede650daab9e804fb518100473b786d0fee16a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 56c | 6,774$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.32 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Over | 45c | 1,124$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 43c | 614.93$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 42c | 291.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 41c | 287$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 77c | 174.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 58c | 133.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 43c | 130.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 43c | 94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 55c | 90.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 574 | 51.4%295 W · 279 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 90.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 42c | 90.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 43c | 82.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 24c | 81.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 215 | 30.7%66 W · 149 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 22c | 55.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 75c | 50.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 302 | 46.4%140 W · 162 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 72c | 47.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 58c | 35.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 42c | 28.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 278 | 56.5%157 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 78c | 27.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 45c | 23.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group CGalions won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.