TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Jaguars vs. Jackson State Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southern Jaguarsof Southern Jaguars, Jackson State Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Jackson State Tigers7c7,388$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.771,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jackson State Tigers2c6,087$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.914,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Southern Jaguars76c5,158$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jackson State Tigers11c2,996$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.451,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jackson State Tigers14c2,547$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.832,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jackson State Tigers14c2,161$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.293,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jackson State Tigers33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jackson State Tigers3c980$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.891,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jackson State Tigers13c809.78$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.111,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Southern Jaguars67c714$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jackson State Tigers36c600$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.82,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Jackson State Tigers56c531.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Jackson State Tigers10c480.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.754427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jackson State Tigers3c468$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Jackson State Tigers26c415.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Jackson State Tigers32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Southern Jaguars68c360$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.21,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Southern Jaguars69c311.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9745351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Southern Jaguars68c281.43$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0674152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jackson State Tigers25c265.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.331,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Jackson State Tigers32c251.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf312…eee8backed Jackson State Tigers43c230.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Jackson State Tigers23c130.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Southern Jaguars76c110.87$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.873,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Jackson State Tigers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jackson State Tigers42c92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Southern Jaguars65c84.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5258345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jackson State Tigers17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Jackson State Tigers35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.255337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Jaguars67c69.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jackson State Tigers29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd266…f250backed Jackson State Tigers34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Jackson State Tigers35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jackson State Tigers36c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Southern Jaguars69c34.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4521651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Southern Jaguars66c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8625152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Southern Jaguars65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Southern Jaguars65c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82075%15 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Southern Jaguars70c27.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3213550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Southern Jaguars47c23.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Southern Jaguars65c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.652941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x79c6…3630backed Southern Jaguars66c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6d…e4f4backed Southern Jaguars68c15.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.