Tennis · resolved market
ITF Olomouc: Adrienn Nagy vs Anna Siskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e47818e7a38d31a102bce148f76af98dcb0fc3b400632954299231925d561f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Siskovaof Adrienn Nagy, Anna Siskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anna Siskova | 74c | 1,463$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Adrienn Nagy | 25c | 1,007$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Anna Siskova | 74c | 748.65$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.65 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Anna Siskova | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Adrienn Nagy | 29c | 408.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Adrienn Nagy | 35c | 386.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Adrienn Nagy | 29c | 314.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Adrienn Nagy | 26c | 280.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Adrienn Nagy | 17c | 220.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Anna Siskova | 74c | 199.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Adrienn Nagy | 23c | 148.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Anna Siskova | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Adrienn Nagy | 25c | 132.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Adrienn Nagy | 24c | 130.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Adrienn Nagy | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Anna Siskova | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Anna Siskova | 73c | 99.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Adrienn Nagy | 23c | 90.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Anna Siskova | 72c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anna Siskova | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Adrienn Nagy | 27c | 74.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Adrienn Nagy | 27c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Adrienn Nagy | 22c | 70.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Adrienn Nagy | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anna Siskova | 79c | 65.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Adrienn Nagy | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Adrienn Nagy | 19c | 55.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Adrienn Nagy | 30c | 55.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anna Siskova | 62c | 34.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Anna Siskova | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anna Siskova | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Anna Siskova | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Anna Siskova | 78c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Anna Siskova | 73c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…d2cebacked Anna Siskova | 74c | 13.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.