Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Rider Broncs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93ff9cbb64bc4b7cb4c8ec467b1d870228401f7e8e526a02ab36bada8ce5745c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manhattan Jaspersof Manhattan Jaspers, Rider Broncs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rider Broncs | 61c | 4,447$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Manhattan Jaspers | 38c | 813.23$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manhattan Jaspers | 43c | 777.69$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Manhattan Jaspers | 57c | 720$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.73 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Manhattan Jaspers | 58c | 534$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 530$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rider Broncs | 44c | 496.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rider Broncs | 44c | 437.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Manhattan Jaspers | 47c | 425.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Manhattan Jaspers | 33c | 400$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 31c | 251.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Manhattan Jaspers | 33c | 213.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Manhattan Jaspers | 41c | 191.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Manhattan Jaspers | 36c | 179.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manhattan Jaspers | 34c | 171.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Rider Broncs | 43c | 144.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Manhattan Jaspers | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Rider Broncs | 15c | 125.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Rider Broncs | 60c | 94.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Rider Broncs | 43c | 86.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rider Broncs | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manhattan Jaspers | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 55c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 36c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 41.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rider Broncs | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Manhattan Jaspers | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Manhattan Jaspers | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Rider Broncs | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 25.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rider Broncs | 42c | 24.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Manhattan Jaspers | 58c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Manhattan Jaspers | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.