Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Abdulhamid Mubarak vs Tiago Boschmans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94bf737c50693343c58106739dc20ef5adfa6260d2d92e60bc4fc084ae793ecf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abdulhamid Mubarakof Abdulhamid Mubarak, Tiago Boschmans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Abdulhamid Mubarak | 48c | 16,535$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,665.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 8,677$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Abdulhamid Mubarak | 50c | 6,306$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 5,149$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.35 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 1,550$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.25 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 1,250$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tiago Boschmans | 49c | 909$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.41 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 749.16$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.58 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Tiago Boschmans | 54c | 733.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 558.43$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.22 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Tiago Boschmans | 55c | 375.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Tiago Boschmans | 49c | 373.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Tiago Boschmans | 53c | 324$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tiago Boschmans | 49c | 261.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Boschmans | 49c | 219$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Abdulhamid Mubarak | 55c | 138.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 135.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tiago Boschmans | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Tiago Boschmans | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tiago Boschmans | 38c | 109.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tiago Boschmans | 42c | 101.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 59.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Abdulhamid Mubarak | 55c | 53.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Tiago Boschmans | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 42.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Abdulhamid Mubarak | 51c | 41.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Tiago Boschmans | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 237 | 59.1%140 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Abdulhamid Mubarak | 56c | 40.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Tiago Boschmans | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…3f50backed Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 32.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Tiago Boschmans | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Tiago Boschmans | 52c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Abdulhamid Mubarak | 69c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…8ba9backed Abdulhamid Mubarak | 67c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Tiago Boschmans | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.