Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stetson Hatters vs. Jacksonville Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9511072ccd8c5ba9b6cb446c2cf341f155c5dc4dce69bb5566e7777499aa9991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville Dolphinsof Stetson Hatters, Jacksonville Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Stetson Hatters | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 72c | 2,188$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.43 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stetson Hatters | 28c | 1,884$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stetson Hatters | 28c | 1,706$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 71c | 953.67$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.92 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stetson Hatters | 23c | 514.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 69c | 514.09$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 417.59$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stetson Hatters | 18c | 359$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stetson Hatters | 27c | 309.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stetson Hatters | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Stetson Hatters | 28c | 299.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 70c | 283.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 71c | 279.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stetson Hatters | 30c | 272.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stetson Hatters | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Stetson Hatters | 17c | 186.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Stetson Hatters | 29c | 171.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Stetson Hatters | 31c | 150.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 69c | 144.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stetson Hatters | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 71c | 139.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 134.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 70c | 100.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 68c | 93.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Stetson Hatters | 29c | 81.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stetson Hatters | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 78c | 74.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stetson Hatters | 21c | 57.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 70c | 44.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 69c | 30.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 74c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 70c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stetson Hatters vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsthis page
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-5.5)Stetson Hatters won
- Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-6.5)Stetson Hatters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.