Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon State Beavers vs. Pacific Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c9025744c636d9dea22b69b5e7b8f03224396f408738d05058da09e6cdbf98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacific Tigersof Oregon State Beavers, Pacific Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacific Tigers | 66c | 3,392$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Oregon State Beavers | 36c | 2,400$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 33c | 1,745$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon State Beavers | 35c | 1,322$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacific Tigers | 63c | 1,146$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacific Tigers | 64c | 793.46$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.63 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oregon State Beavers | 33c | 464$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 35c | 447.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacific Tigers | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacific Tigers | 65c | 211.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pacific Tigers | 64c | 173$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacific Tigers | 75c | 168.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon State Beavers | 12c | 117.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State Beavers | 36c | 109$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oregon State Beavers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacific Tigers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacific Tigers | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oregon State Beavers | 36c | 54.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Oregon State Beavers | 38c | 52.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon State Beavers | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Oregon State Beavers | 36c | 32.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Pacific Tigers | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.