Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Yoshihito Nishioka vs Coleman Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e45c61aaafa5259e9a91af6dadfc5940a3764141887a93edb858eddddd8db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wongof Nishioka, Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nishioka | 8c | 6,852$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.99 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Wong | 66c | 2,279$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.26 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nishioka | 6c | 1,353$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nishioka | 40c | 1,276$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.43 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nishioka | 9c | 798.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nishioka | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nishioka | 31c | 392.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Nishioka | 34c | 312.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Wong | 65c | 310$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Nishioka | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Nishioka | 37c | 189$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wong | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…ce33backed Nishioka | 10c | 109.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nishioka | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Nishioka | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Wong | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Nishioka | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Wong | 63c | 95.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nishioka | 36c | 76.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wong | 74c | 76.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nishioka | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wong | 78c | 62.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Nishioka | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Nishioka | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…e4e7backed Nishioka | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nishioka | 29c | 48.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Wong | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nishioka | 36c | 37.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Wong | 61c | 32.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Wong | 66c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.