CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs MANA eSports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f3880519e26fda039f9b3b9f5c200e21ea80da1e5b4486ae633096524e13f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Preasy Mixof Preasy Mix, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MANA eSports | 61c | 4,844$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.33 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked MANA eSports | 30c | 2,100$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.04 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Preasy Mix | 50c | 2,094$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.62 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked MANA eSports | 50c | 1,508$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Preasy Mix | 39c | 1,121$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Preasy Mix | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports | 42c | 887.09$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.97 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed MANA eSports | 24c | 601.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Preasy Mix | 75c | 551.37$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed MANA eSports | 29c | 503.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed Preasy Mix | 39c | 467.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed MANA eSports | 50c | 401.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Preasy Mix | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MANA eSports | 54c | 315.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Preasy Mix | 39c | 289.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Preasy Mix | 41c | 274.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 247.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Preasy Mix | 39c | 234.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Preasy Mix | 42c | 199.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked MANA eSports | 57c | 171.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked Preasy Mix | 39c | 166$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed MANA eSports | 35c | 156.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Preasy Mix | 49c | 134.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed MANA eSports | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Preasy Mix | 44c | 115.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked MANA eSports | 41c | 103.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed Preasy Mix | 71c | 102.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MANA eSports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed MANA eSports | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Preasy Mix | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MANA eSports | 27c | 87.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Preasy Mix | 76c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Preasy Mix | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Preasy Mix | 74c | 67.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed MANA eSports | 58c | 65.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked MANA eSports | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…c471backed Preasy Mix | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Preasy Mix | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Preasy Mix | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MANA eSports | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Preasy Mix | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed MANA eSports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Preasy Mix | 43c | 43.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed MANA eSports | 62c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed MANA eSports | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Preasy Mix | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…8366backed MANA eSports | 62c | 21.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs MANA eSports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerPreasy Mix won
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerPreasy Mix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.