Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Jose State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x960386c2167d690f7911407e180fa13aec1e3e037d5d8fa27b2522cf1e3d6619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Wyoming Cowboys, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,683 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 31c | 3,794$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.68 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 1,027$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.22 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Wyoming Cowboys | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 881.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 835.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 668.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.67 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 657.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked San Jose State Spartans | 3c | 510.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 508.54$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State Spartans | 3c | 474$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 458.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 418.28$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 413.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 69c | 377$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Jose State Spartans | 3c | 367.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wyoming Cowboys | 78c | 358.98$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 278.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 29c | 211.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 211.43$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 199.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 69c | 161.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 159.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 145.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wyoming Cowboys | 79c | 135.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 110.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wyoming Cowboys | 71c | 93.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 72c | 79.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 70.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Wyoming Cowboys | 80c | 51.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 70c | 44.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Wyoming Cowboys | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Jose State Spartansthis page
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-6.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.