La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9606741ee2f0a94c626ff35e312f5fc89308782c3905a65026ac8836af5add6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,200$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed No | 24c | 1,097$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.23 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 1,046$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…329fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,009$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…fe36backed Yes | 52c | 471.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 75c | 296.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 78c | 240$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 46c | 167.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 77c | 145$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 78c | 125.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 123.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 77c | 108$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 19c | 94.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 68.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 65.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 66c | 45.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 35.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…c20ebacked No | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 29.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 58c | 18.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: CD Castellón O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.