Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Kamonwan Yodpetch vs Rinko Matsuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9617d1414e24ce285b918de8ea1f18e9d2b2dbc93cf5087094ec46bf7b43ef4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kamonwan Yodpetchof Kamonwan Yodpetch, Rinko Matsuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 52c | 8,264$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.56 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rinko Matsuda | 48c | 7,378$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.98 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 45c | 696.11$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rinko Matsuda | 48c | 609.92$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Rinko Matsuda | 78c | 578.85$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 52c | 575.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.47 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rinko Matsuda | 47c | 312.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Rinko Matsuda | 31c | 233.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 44c | 180.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Rinko Matsuda | 80c | 157.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Rinko Matsuda | 46c | 107.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Rinko Matsuda | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Rinko Matsuda | 32c | 49.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rinko Matsuda | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Rinko Matsuda | 42c | 37.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Rinko Matsuda | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Rinko Matsuda | 56c | 32.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rinko Matsuda | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rinko Matsuda | 66c | 25.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rinko Matsuda | 49c | 22.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Rinko Matsuda | 48c | 22.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.