CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965cb47b871aac833cdf8e8b23d39d7b96707fb3aa88b0b3e0c78037b4709f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, INFURITY Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked INFURITY Gaming | 46c | 5,013$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.16 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 76c | 649.77$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-MANA eSports | 63c | 625$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 541.97$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed INFURITY Gaming | 23c | 508.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 463$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 431.3$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 71c | 368.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 341.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 321.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked INFURITY Gaming | 7c | 262.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 242.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 222$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked INFURITY Gaming | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 168.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 150.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 144.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 142.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 107.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked INFURITY Gaming | 26c | 92.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 88.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 235 | 37.9%89 W · 146 L | -16.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-MANA eSports | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked INFURITY Gaming | 15c | 69.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed INFURITY Gaming | 33c | 40.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked INFURITY Gaming | 37c | 28.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsINFURITY Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 2 WinnerINFURITY Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.