CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Team Novaq (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966e6b87aa705df59e2867c44841e42dceed6c165373cdceb07b2e94416456ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof ex-Zero Tenacity, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,317 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 3,820$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.9 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 1,791$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.36 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Team Novaq | 60c | 1,670$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.54 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 1,344$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Novaq | 59c | 930$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.48 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 640.45$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Team Novaq | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Team Novaq | 60c | 432$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 427.05$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Team Novaq | 59c | 426.93$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.04 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Novaq | 59c | 403.39$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Team Novaq | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 305.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Novaq | 59c | 294$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Team Novaq | 59c | 263.31$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…17fbbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 262.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Team Novaq | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Team Novaq | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 199.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Team Novaq | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Team Novaq | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Team Novaq | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Team Novaq | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Team Novaq | 60c | 164.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Team Novaq | 60c | 164.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 163.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…b8a3backed Team Novaq | 59c | 147.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Team Novaq | 60c | 136.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 136.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 131$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Team Novaq | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…895cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 81.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 76.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Team Novaq | 50c | 74.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Team Novaq | 59c | 71.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 70.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Team Novaq | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 65.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Team Novaq | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Team Novaq | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Team Novaq | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Novaq | 53c | 54.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Team Novaq | 61c | 49.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…f5bbbacked Team Novaq | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 44.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Team Novaq | 59c | 41.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Team Novaq | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Novaq | 77c | 31.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Team Novaq | 59c | 28.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Team Novaq | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Team Novaq | 61c | 24.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Team Novaq | 60c | 24.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Team Novaq | 63c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Team Novaq | 59c | 20.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Team Novaq | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Team Novaq | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.