CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9696009260426bb4a5dc8dc0065ff62d1cf59d81b7ccc507e9b0c80d5c50d5b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed fnatic | 65c | 12,396$8,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Falcons Force | 35c | 5,439$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.65 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Falcons Force | 38c | 2,731$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.6 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 64c | 2,150$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons Force | 25c | 1,380$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked fnatic | 60c | 670$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Falcons Force | 40c | 642.49$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Falcons Force | 39c | 638.05$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Falcons Force | 35c | 623.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Falcons Force | 39c | 545$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Falcons Force | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Falcons Force | 42c | 431.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Falcons Force | 38c | 320$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Falcons Force | 36c | 316.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Falcons Force | 35c | 314.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed fnatic | 64c | 298.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Falcons Force | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Falcons Force | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Falcons Force | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed fnatic | 64c | 185.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Falcons Force | 38c | 173.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 36c | 148.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Falcons Force | 30c | 146.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Falcons Force | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed fnatic | 61c | 134.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked fnatic | 57c | 132$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed fnatic | 61c | 130.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Falcons Force | 36c | 121.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed fnatic | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Falcons Force | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Falcons Force | 34c | 98.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Falcons Force | 36c | 82.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Falcons Force | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Falcons Force | 32c | 77.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Falcons Force | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Falcons Force | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Falcons Force | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Falcons Force | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Falcons Force | 37c | 57.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Falcons Force | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Falcons Force | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 47.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed fnatic | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked fnatic | 61c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Falcons Force | 38c | 37.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed fnatic | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed fnatic | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked fnatic | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.