CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f962c57bf0cd628ba53131f7f3cb6dfd211739157b8c857d45dbb64c7afa13b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed fnatic | 80c | 7,728$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.59 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Falcons Force | 35c | 3,314$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.55 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons Force | 17c | 2,055$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed fnatic | 79c | 1,703$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 16c | 1,540$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.64 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 13c | 1,436$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Falcons Force | 17c | 1,420$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Falcons Force | 26c | 1,405$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.64 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ad…e7c3backed Falcons Force | 1c | 1,291$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked fnatic | 76c | 1,041$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.65 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 31c | 1,004$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…8cc0backed Falcons Force | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed fnatic | 78c | 754.41$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked fnatic | 80c | 700$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Falcons Force | 22c | 560$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Falcons Force | 20c | 341.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Falcons Force | 15c | 304$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Falcons Force | 21c | 281.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Falcons Force | 30c | 280.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Falcons Force | 25c | 261.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Falcons Force | 14c | 257.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Falcons Force | 18c | 255.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Falcons Force | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Falcons Force | 22c | 254.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Falcons Force | 16c | 215.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 14c | 214.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked fnatic | 66c | 207.25$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…589abacked Falcons Force | 17c | 198.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked fnatic | 76c | 197.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Falcons Force | 21c | 184.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Falcons Force | 31c | 163.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Falcons Force | 8c | 134.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Falcons Force | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…1d51backed Falcons Force | 10c | 122$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked fnatic | 65c | 120.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Falcons Force | 17c | 108.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Falcons Force | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Falcons Force | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed fnatic | 75c | 86.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Falcons Force | 30c | 72.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 76c | 66.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed fnatic | 72c | 63.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Falcons Force | 34c | 50.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed fnatic | 78c | 43.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Falcons Force | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…e910backed fnatic | 74c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed fnatic | 64c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed fnatic | 70c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked fnatic | 71c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed fnatic | 59c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked fnatic | 80c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed fnatic | 78c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked fnatic | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagefnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.