CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fd2e1d2b32e9da3dac91b4a6d5db27622ea41d1d54f4022c60284f913769ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Falcons Force | 10c | 6,962$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.53 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Falcons Force | 20c | 4,200$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 9c | 3,294$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Falcons Force | 3c | 2,525$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Falcons Force | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Falcons Force | 10c | 1,630$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 16c | 1,553$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 15c | 1,476$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…506ebacked Falcons Force | 14c | 1,395$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Falcons Force | 10c | 1,181$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed fnatic | 80c | 888.17$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Falcons Force | 7c | 773.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 13c | 773.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked fnatic | 80c | 751.52$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed fnatic | 79c | 718.14$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 8c | 683.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Falcons Force | 10c | 603$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Falcons Force | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Falcons Force | 12c | 593.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed fnatic | 80c | 590.67$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…7dc7backed Falcons Force | 10c | 561.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Falcons Force | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Falcons Force | 9c | 495.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Falcons Force | 20c | 457.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force | 19c | 455.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Falcons Force | 20c | 418$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Falcons Force | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Falcons Force | 10c | 398.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Falcons Force | 10c | 394.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Falcons Force | 18c | 313.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Falcons Force | 10c | 307$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Falcons Force | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Falcons Force | 19c | 263.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…7427backed Falcons Force | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…589abacked Falcons Force | 11c | 243.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…d277backed Falcons Force | 5c | 220.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Falcons Force | 10c | 215.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Falcons Force | 7c | 207.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Falcons Force | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Falcons Force | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed fnatic | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed fnatic | 79c | 122.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed fnatic | 80c | 115.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Falcons Force | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Falcons Force | 11c | 106.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed fnatic | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed fnatic | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…b18fbacked fnatic | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Falcons Force | 20c | 89.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Falcons Force | 15c | 84.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed fnatic | 80c | 72.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Falcons Force | 19c | 61.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed Falcons Force | 21c | 60.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Falcons Force | 17c | 59.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Falcons Force | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed fnatic | 79c | 53.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Falcons Force | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed fnatic | 80c | 35.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed fnatic | 79c | 32.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…aa2abacked fnatic | 79c | 25.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…68bebacked fnatic | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.