Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Kokoro Isomura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96af7632dd2e80981e7fcc7d725dfc2c1a2514061039ad17491ebe18835b904a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kokoro Isomuraof Ryotaro Taguchi, Kokoro Isomura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Kokoro Isomura | 63c | 5,986$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.88 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 38c | 5,723$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.96 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 48c | 2,296$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.45 | 511 | 42.7%218 W · 293 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Kokoro Isomura | 57c | 1,573$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.86 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Kokoro Isomura | 60c | 887.05$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.82 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Kokoro Isomura | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kokoro Isomura | 58c | 378.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Kokoro Isomura | 56c | 326.53$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kokoro Isomura | 63c | 282.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 34c | 279.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 25c | 120.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kokoro Isomura | 37c | 115.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kokoro Isomura | 58c | 115.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kokoro Isomura | 56c | 108.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 56c | 106.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 34c | 87.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Kokoro Isomura | 55c | 82.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kokoro Isomura | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kokoro Isomura | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Ryotaro Taguchi | 44c | 31.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Ryotaro Taguchi | 42c | 24.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…3919backed Kokoro Isomura | 63c | 20.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kokoro Isomura | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.