Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970316232dfc07bcd1d9233a55f14af2019fa4ea402dd252eae3bea904cb4363

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,698 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	44c	2,787$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,565.08	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under	52c	2,324$1,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,205	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	48c	2,224$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.08	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-93.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	52c	1,960$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	55c	1,748$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.15	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	60c	1,659$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.51	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	2c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	46c	1,090$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.04	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	56	5.4%3 W · 53 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+150.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	29c	999.4$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.37	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	51c	897.76$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.33	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	52c	769.23$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over	52c	749.97$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.99	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over	50c	645.61$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over	48c	603.58$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.88	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under	49c	571.43$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	40c	478.99$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.39	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	48c	475.1$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.05	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	49c	440.61$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.9	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Over	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	56c	351.01$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.84	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	49c	336.73$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.73	321	64.5%207 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under	48c	247.02$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.57	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	49c	226.66$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.24	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under	50c	210$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under	50c	210$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	56c	195.22$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.37	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under	50c	185$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+8.2wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over	50c	184.62$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.92	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	48c	182.29$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	1,615	34.9%564 W · 1,051 L	-28.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	46c	130.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under	49c	125$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under	50c	107.65$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	91	13.2%12 W · 79 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	50c	105.55$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.78	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over	58c	103.64$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.02	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	50c	102$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over	36c	101.51$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.97	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x895c…d405backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc759…0504backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.25per pick	57cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	59c	98.39$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	49c	98.08$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	51c	98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.02	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over	44c	92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under	56c	92$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.52	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	48c	85.45$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.67	1,161	57.4%666 W · 495 L	+40.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over	42c	82.01$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.42	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under	55c	77.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.82	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	552	54.5%301 W · 251 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under	48c	47.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over	46c	46.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.32	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over	54c	42.91$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.72	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	45c	39.05$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under	52c	31.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over	49c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.81	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under	55c	26.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	50c	25.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under	55c	25.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x563d…0f60backed Under	40c	25.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed98…97d2backed Under	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fd…8286backed Over	52c	24.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d0…5e1bbacked Over	52c	23.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5382…8d53backed Over	48c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.97	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under	48c	22.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80c…72b2backed Over	52c	22.08$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…f32abacked Under	48c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under	56c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1549…44dfbacked Over	52c	20.38$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a4…7272backed Over	52c	20.05$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Under	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc70b…1bf9backed Over	52c	19.61$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under	58c	18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5this page
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event