MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974d39ed3b4cb78f0c3707b547f414f680cdae7782188aacd95bfc07e8579ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Angels, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 67c | 39,617$26,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,073.47 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 33c | 25,995$8,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,578.35 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Angels | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Angels | 33c | 5,012$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Mariners | 67c | 3,155$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 34c | 2,492$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Angels | 14c | 2,140$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Angels | 33c | 1,879$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.07 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Mariners | 74c | 1,409$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.63 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Angels | 1c | 1,311$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Mariners | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 66c | 944.83$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 33c | 940$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 66c | 773.63$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 67c | 747.96$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Angels | 33c | 686$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 67c | 597$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mariners | 67c | 567$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners | 67c | 550$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Angels | 33c | 547$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 66c | 507.02$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Mariners | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Angels | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Angels | 33c | 324.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Angels | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Mariners | 68c | 286.76$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Angels | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Mariners | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Angels | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 30c | 167.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 80c | 137.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Angels | 33c | 125.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Angels | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mariners | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mariners | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Mariners | 67c | 77.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…3a3bbacked Angels | 33c | 74.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Angels | 34c | 73.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Angels | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Angels | 32c | 62.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Angels | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Angels | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Angels | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Mariners | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Mariners | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…94f5backed Angels | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Mariners | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Mariners | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Mariners | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Mariners | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Angels | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Mariners | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Mariners | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Mariners | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…7d1fbacked Mariners | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…b4a8backed Mariners | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Mariners | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd21…c714backed Mariners | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Marinersthis page
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.