Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97542dfd3f75bc7bd9d2819a7f1f77c3a63e656cf9300482986f5aa1e77bfb0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 69c | 3,000$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Over | 20c | 1,942$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 1,833$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.49 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,760$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 62c | 1,453$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 38c | 780.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 43c | 584.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 390$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 63c | 359.1$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.93 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 75c | 353.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 321.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 24c | 284$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Over | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Over | 46c | 227.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 197.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 174.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 15c | 167.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 24c | 147.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 73c | 147.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 61c | 145.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 26c | 142.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 33c | 121.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 121.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 25c | 121.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…6813backed Under | 70c | 103.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 40c | 94.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 93.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…6c9fbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 85.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 31c | 79.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 27c | 70.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 30c | 67.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 38c | 64.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 62.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 43c | 58.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 53.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 26c | 51.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 28c | 38.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 76c | 36.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 76c | 36.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 76c | 36.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 69c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 69c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 69c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 69c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 69c | 30.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 50c | 26.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 70c | 22.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…5847backed Under | 76c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 70c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.