Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6053046897172dd5d748d2538fbd6dda2425b0b0357e1c76b1286493cdefc6fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 12c | 1,291$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 1,115$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.92 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 28c | 621.31$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 535.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 16c | 494.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 66c | 451.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 68c | 222.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 77c | 198.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 184$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 68c | 140.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 34c | 85.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 34c | 76.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 77c | 75.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 68c | 68.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 33c | 65.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 33c | 32.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 27.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 68c | 22.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ef…7f54backed Over | 66c | 19.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…d951backed Over | 67c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.