TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCLA Bruins vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ohio State Buckeyesof UCLA Bruins, Ohio State Buckeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa868…066fbacked UCLA Bruins4c2,492$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes69c2,454$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.465,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Ohio State Buckeyes66c1,942$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.955858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed UCLA Bruins35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42013735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UCLA Bruins28c1,155$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.411,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1f…b254backed UCLA Bruins1c1,112$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UCLA Bruins19c1,080$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.232,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins34c917.89$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.0612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UCLA Bruins20c843.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.92,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ohio State Buckeyes66c841$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9415851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ohio State Buckeyes77c801.99$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.083,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed UCLA Bruins34c702.34$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.839744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed UCLA Bruins24c635.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UCLA Bruins6c623.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.341,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes65c600.01$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.331,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UCLA Bruins34c557.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.092,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked UCLA Bruins35c521.22$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9852928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ohio State Buckeyes65c500.28$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.273,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UCLA Bruins34c467$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.831,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Ohio State Buckeyes67c423.8$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.857965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes75c395.75$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.844,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes71c352$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.085127.5%14 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ohio State Buckeyes67c266$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed UCLA Bruins35c178.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed UCLA Bruins29c168$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ohio State Buckeyes65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7519950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed UCLA Bruins35c101.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.553646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Ohio State Buckeyes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2819238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed UCLA Bruins35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UCLA Bruins21c96.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked UCLA Bruins26c74.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ohio State Buckeyes76c74.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.791,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UCLA Bruins27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UCLA Bruins35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Ohio State Buckeyes70c41.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.652,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9bc…45c3backed Ohio State Buckeyes64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked UCLA Bruins36c36.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.272142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Ohio State Buckeyes70c35.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.669151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Ohio State Buckeyes78c32.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0511536.5%42 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce7…34f3backed Ohio State Buckeyes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ohio State Buckeyes66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.161,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Ohio State Buckeyes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.381,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes80c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8631666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.