Tennis · resolved market
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Torello (Spain), hard: Zi Ying Ruan vs Isabel Pascual Montalvo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97802ac43b334a30db7df0e946769f0d3cadf33426f1a3204733fddc62c821d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isabel Pascual Montalvoof Zi Ying Ruan, Isabel Pascual Montalvo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Zi Ying Ruan | 72c | 4,834$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 35c | 2,925$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.99 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 26c | 730.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.77 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 24c | 628.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.01 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 18c | 609.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 26c | 583.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.3 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 27c | 414.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 24c | 409.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.64 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 42c | 384.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.55 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zi Ying Ruan | 70c | 339.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.29 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zi Ying Ruan | 63c | 330.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.61 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 23c | 283$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Zi Ying Ruan | 50c | 220.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Zi Ying Ruan | 56c | 157.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Zi Ying Ruan | 69c | 141.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zi Ying Ruan | 63c | 137$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zi Ying Ruan | 55c | 131.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zi Ying Ruan | 72c | 106.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Zi Ying Ruan | 60c | 77.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Zi Ying Ruan | 58c | 59.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Zi Ying Ruan | 65c | 57.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 47c | 54.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 34c | 38.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Zi Ying Ruan | 45c | 37.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Zi Ying Ruan | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zi Ying Ruan | 69c | 36.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Zi Ying Ruan | 47c | 35.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 34c | 34.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Zi Ying Ruan | 50c | 33.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Zi Ying Ruan | 62c | 31.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Zi Ying Ruan | 39c | 30.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Isabel Pascual Montalvo | 56c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Zi Ying Ruan | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked Zi Ying Ruan | 67c | 16.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.