Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9797ec6f9d91e5ea2bd72d968372b12872b85dab4c07fa11b70d0c785519cbaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,795$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 2,553$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.75 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 2,149$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.33 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 41c | 483$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 378.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 44c | 352.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 44c | 255.91$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 39c | 235.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 59c | 166.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 7c | 149$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 99.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Over | 27c | 89.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 39c | 86.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 52.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 34c | 40.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 39c | 35.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…a931backed Under | 57c | 34.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 67c | 33.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 77c | 23.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Norwich City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: West Bromwich Albion FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: West Bromwich Albion FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.