MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97a94a443b59912aca03a0a1247f5989cdf4e50cf0f5b1251b838d0e0096f487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Braves, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9f…3e91backed Braves | 58c | 9,999$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486d…3d63backed Marlins | 42c | 9,998$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 58c | 4,161$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 75c | 3,879$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 24c | 2,684$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.14 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 21c | 2,508$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.64 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Braves | 59c | 2,115$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.85 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 40c | 1,885$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.88 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 49c | 1,090$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.53 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.89 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Braves | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Braves | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Marlins | 80c | 754.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 52c | 627.36$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.23 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 39c | 565.63$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 60c | 524.62$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Marlins | 48c | 520.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Braves | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Marlins | 42c | 499.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 43c | 499.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves | 60c | 480$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 42c | 475$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.5 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…8d19backed Marlins | 53c | 439$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Braves | 28c | 412.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Braves | 8c | 399.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Braves | 57c | 399.2$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 57c | 382.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Braves | 51c | 354.83$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Braves | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Braves | 59c | 299.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 41c | 282$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 36c | 280.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Braves | 58c | 274.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Braves | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Marlins | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 43c | 231.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Braves | 60c | 198.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins | 44c | 183.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 64c | 180.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Braves | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Braves | 59c | 168$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Marlins | 60c | 144.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Braves | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Braves | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Marlins | 42c | 89.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Braves | 52c | 71.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Braves | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 58c | 67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Marlins | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Braves | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 42c | 57.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Braves | 55c | 54.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 75c | 53.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Braves | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Marlins | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Marlins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins | 67c | 38.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Braves | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Marlins | 43c | 26.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…962fbacked Marlins | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…971ebacked Marlins | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…f0c8backed Marlins | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…25b1backed Braves | 59c | 22.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…dd06backed Braves | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…c12bbacked Braves | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Braves | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Braves | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Marlins | 61c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Braves | 58c | 18.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.