Fifa International · resolved market
Belarus vs. Syria: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97cfdfc2e2b3862121c237f4dabeb3465a3585c18d16b74538272b4dfcf616b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 971.25$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.66 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 567.46$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 38c | 310.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 40c | 295$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 41c | 246.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Yes | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 57c | 174.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Yes | 30c | 100.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 52c | 55.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Yes | 56c | 37.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed No | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…18ebbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belarus vs. Syria: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 4.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Belarus won
- Spread: Belarus (-2.5)Belarus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.