Fifa International · resolved market
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2b3091c116b81733c62463792ca9f68e34f1b5caeb0f2a353168d29fa28a77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 46c | 880.83$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.19 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 825.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 821.41$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 67c | 598.76$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 80c | 521$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 404.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 40c | 297.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.86 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 44c | 293.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 293.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 44c | 290.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 45c | 221.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed Under | 59c | 216.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Under | 26c | 174.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 74c | 170.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 69c | 124.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 60c | 92.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 41c | 72.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 31c | 65.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 39c | 44.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…6d5abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 33.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 30.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 2.5this page
- Belarus vs. Syria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 4.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Belarus won
- Spread: Belarus (-2.5)Belarus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.