Fifa International · resolved market
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5cc15eb8d46a0bd49b3667826b3b0020468b20c0f5c3481168f5b0df2f50d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 60c | 40,289$24,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,960.11 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 41c | 28,897$11,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,916.34 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 6,516$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 39c | 3,380$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.29 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 51c | 1,748$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.38 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 47c | 1,025$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.97 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 1,015$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 61c | 799.98$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 708.87$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 48c | 576$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.27 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 23c | 382.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.23 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 64c | 331.78$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Over | 66c | 328.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 43c | 278.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…d50ebacked Under | 50c | 198.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 55c | 181.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 179$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 53c | 164.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 48c | 159.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 72c | 157$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…ed49backed Under | 16c | 153.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 79c | 126.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 296 | 39.9%118 W · 178 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 31c | 103.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 50c | 92.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 32c | 71.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 28c | 69.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Under | 34c | 58.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 67c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 78c | 23.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 3.5this page
- Belarus vs. Syria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 4.5Over won
- Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Belarus won
- Spread: Belarus (-2.5)Belarus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.