Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ee8bcf2d178f3afed78b305df04f60a466e65eb3222c4a15a328c8b233dfdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Ugo Blanchet, Pablo Llamas Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Ugo Blanchet | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ugo Blanchet | 12c | 2,900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Ugo Blanchet | 10c | 1,511$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ugo Blanchet | 2c | 1,338$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ugo Blanchet | 18c | 999.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ugo Blanchet | 8c | 566.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Ugo Blanchet | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Ugo Blanchet | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Ugo Blanchet | 12c | 458.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec6…4082backed Ugo Blanchet | 6c | 349.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Ugo Blanchet | 18c | 267.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Ugo Blanchet | 18c | 242.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Ugo Blanchet | 9c | 215.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ugo Blanchet | 18c | 159.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Ugo Blanchet | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Ugo Blanchet | 11c | 134.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…bb37backed Ugo Blanchet | 9c | 118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Ugo Blanchet | 14c | 105.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Ugo Blanchet | 19c | 102.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Ugo Blanchet | 11c | 98.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…d692backed Ugo Blanchet | 16c | 79.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 78c | 24.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.