Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983fa0a7a32881e604b624a417076c867e0e0561659ded4e96f9aec52d689fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed No | 8c | 6,867$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.43 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 2,509$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 2,118$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 1,481$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.87 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 826.13$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.03 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 31c | 810$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 68c | 392.14$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.87 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 23c | 218.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 34c | 177.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 76c | 146.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 77c | 137.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 120.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 22c | 82.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 72.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 70.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 70c | 61.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 70c | 61.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 23c | 58.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 23c | 57.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 69c | 48.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 32c | 41.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 41.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 64c | 36.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 65c | 35.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 47c | 33.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…c289backed Yes | 78c | 29.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.