CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989682ee7b2336df0490836e0bc8d69894718c9547c5c037d2385f97730d3ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40e…9770backed Ground Zero | 75c | 2,000$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.22 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rooster | 25c | 1,899$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.83 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Ground Zero | 74c | 675.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Rooster | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…d90cbacked Rooster | 20c | 439.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Ground Zero | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Rooster | 26c | 330$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rooster | 26c | 299.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rooster | 21c | 298.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rooster | 19c | 284.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rooster | 19c | 228$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ground Zero | 80c | 211.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rooster | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Ground Zero | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Rooster | 29c | 179.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Rooster | 26c | 169.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ground Zero | 72c | 160.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rooster | 19c | 154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…f632backed Ground Zero | 75c | 133.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rooster | 20c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rooster | 13c | 116.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ground Zero | 72c | 114.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Rooster | 28c | 107.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rooster | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ground Zero | 78c | 97.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rooster | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked Ground Zero | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Ground Zero | 72c | 88.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…8d41backed Rooster | 30c | 85.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Rooster | 13c | 83.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Ground Zero | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Ground Zero | 79c | 73.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Rooster | 43c | 66.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rooster | 19c | 65.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…940dbacked Rooster | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Ground Zero | 74c | 53.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Rooster | 29c | 42.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Ground Zero | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Ground Zero | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Rooster | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Ground Zero | 74c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Ground Zero | 74c | 34.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Ground Zero | 74c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Ground Zero | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked Ground Zero | 74c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Ground Zero | 74c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Ground Zero | 74c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Ground Zero | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Ground Zero | 70c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…1ec3backed Ground Zero | 74c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ground Zero | 79c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Ground Zero | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Ground Zero | 74c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.