CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs MOUZ NXT (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98ee03ddb82523936c6c42dd15bcc4b347df380e14f855f582d001276b159bfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 1,021$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.13 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed MOUZ NXT | 18c | 542.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked NAVI Junior | 40c | 519.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.01 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NAVI Junior | 41c | 452.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed NAVI Junior | 39c | 435.47$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.06 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MOUZ NXT | 33c | 407.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ NXT | 5c | 399.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 260$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked NAVI Junior | 39c | 258.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…23b4backed NAVI Junior | 40c | 248.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 248.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ NXT | 10c | 220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 178.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NAVI Junior | 74c | 172.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed NAVI Junior | 39c | 154.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked MOUZ NXT | 15c | 132.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MOUZ NXT | 10c | 125.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 87.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed NAVI Junior | 44c | 85.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NAVI Junior | 65c | 79.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 50.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked NAVI Junior | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed NAVI Junior | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NAVI Junior | 37c | 42.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 40.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed NAVI Junior | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked NAVI Junior | 36c | 39.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…279fbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…c56bbacked NAVI Junior | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 33.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed NAVI Junior | 39c | 30.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked NAVI Junior | 41c | 29.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NAVI Junior | 63c | 24.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…4503backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.