MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99642a4c19bfbc56dfb1232663fea3723fa2ff29a400be651412e93e524dd47c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Rockies, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rockies | 27c | 15,804$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.37 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies | 23c | 4,261$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 24c | 3,856$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.3 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 2,631$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 26c | 2,420$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.14 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.85 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Rockies | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 1,377$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rockies | 23c | 1,139$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Rockies | 14c | 1,097$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 858.54$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 75c | 758.8$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockies | 19c | 751.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockies | 25c | 677.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 521$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 11c | 506.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rockies | 20c | 505.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790b…3b7bbacked Rockies | 27c | 437.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 399.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rockies | 26c | 349.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 341.03$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 19c | 332.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 311.08$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 293.36$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Rockies | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 253.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 215$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 174$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rockies | 21c | 147.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Rockies | 24c | 144.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 18c | 127.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Rockies | 14c | 104.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rockies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Rockies | 23c | 89.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 77.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…53b8backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Rockies | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Rockies | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 59.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 50.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed Rockies | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…e110backed Rockies | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…75d3backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…29debacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.