Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b29d4d039d26b1b9d1574d81707d1de3640c1462f970c8f20a34de057b7a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Vici Gaming, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed Vici Gaming | 6c | 9,411$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.31 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 4,003$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.67 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed PARIVISION | 78c | 2,056$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.32 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,522$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.78 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 9c | 1,429$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vici Gaming | 9c | 1,278$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 1,106$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 996.28$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.11 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Vici Gaming | 6c | 979.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 599.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed PARIVISION | 79c | 513.09$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 499.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…c925backed Vici Gaming | 14c | 486.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 355.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked PARIVISION | 77c | 350$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Vici Gaming | 25c | 327.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 299.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…bf21backed Vici Gaming | 9c | 240$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 203.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 194$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39c…71c4backed PARIVISION | 76c | 193.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…9169backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 177.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 149.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Vici Gaming | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Vici Gaming | 12c | 121.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Vici Gaming | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 98.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 82.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PARIVISION | 74c | 65.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…abdfbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 50.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed PARIVISION | 74c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed PARIVISION | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…aa54backed PARIVISION | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 24.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed PARIVISION | 74c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.