South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99beaf345a9c6426d7ed1a9cb4a6abacc6aa971b758b94887021fc71faa78378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8edd…74d2backed Over | 48c | 8,306$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 4,323$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.87 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 46c | 3,452$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 54c | 3,442$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.31 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 1,534$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.12 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 46c | 1,324$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.02 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 48c | 1,223$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.04 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 1,096$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.81 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 853.09$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.48 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 743.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 721$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 721$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 689.37$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.9 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 17c | 647.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 628.66$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 64c | 596.45$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 504.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 52c | 452.58$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 37c | 350$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 275$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 10c | 274.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 256$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 6c | 222.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 206$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 52c | 184.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 29c | 172.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 139.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 12c | 129.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…ef32backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Under | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 82.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…e0c8backed Over | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf726…bca2backed Under | 63c | 63.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 47c | 60.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f7…ff16backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 75c | 40.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 53c | 29.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 54c | 19.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: EC Vitória 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.